Economic Indicators

Unemployment, inflation, rates, VIX — 1999 to present

Each indicator is shown two ways:

• Summary table — current-year value, historical median, historical percentile, inline sparkline. Click the chevron on a row to see the full annual chart with recession shading.
• Comparative monthly view — all indicators on one normalized chart; toggle series in the legend to compare.

Summary table

* = current partial year; see Data & Citations for full provenance.

Comparative monthly view

Monthly series from 1999 to present. Start with unemployment selected; use the legend to toggle others on/off.

Rate environment in context

Fed Funds vs 10Y Treasury. When the curve inverts (Fed Funds > 10Y), a recession has historically followed within ~18 months.